What is the probability that these teams will win the 2010 World Cup?

No 100% answers please
Italy (100% lol jk)
Spain
Brazil
Argentina
France
Germany
Netherlands
England
Mexico
US
Uruguay
Colombia
Canada (hahaha for Bella:P) its round
Sweden
Paraguay
Czech Republic

Italy 12%
Spain 18%
Brazil 15%
Argentina 17%
France 9%
Germany 10%
Netherlands 7%
England 4%
Mexico 1%
US 1.2%
Uruguay 3% (due to proximity and seasonal adjustment)
Colombia 0.2% (I don't think they'll qualify)
Canada (hahaha for Bella:P) 0 they're out.
Sweden 0.8%
Paraguay 1.5%
Czech Republic 3%

I noticed my odds seem to be too high. I think I would adjust France down, Uruguay down, Germany and Holland down a bit. I have to stay with 50% chance of either Spain, Argentina or Brazil winning.

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